The main factors for increasing car prices are an increase in VAT and the expectation of the full effect of the new scrap collection, while Chinese and “parallel” cars may become more expensive. This was reported by Avtostat with reference to surveyed auto experts.
According to the director of retail sales of the Avilon group, Ilya Petrov, the average increase was about 2%, which is equivalent to an increase in VAT, and for certain models – 3-4%. At the same time, as the expert noted, the current increase in price does not yet fully reflect the impact of the new procedure for calculating the recycling fee.
“To mitigate the impact of price increases on demand, some brands have deployed tactical support measures,” explained Petrov.
Commercial director of the Pragmatika dealership network, Alexander Shaprinsky, named the key factors for price growth in 2026: classic indexation, an increase in VAT to 22%, a new disposal fee, exchange rates and the geopolitical situation. According to his forecast, domestic cars could rise in price by 5-10%, Chinese cars by 15-20%, and parallel imported cars by up to 50%.
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